[1] Zhou Lan, Ni Fujian, Zhao Yanjing,. Prediction method of highway pavement ruttingbased on the grey theory [J]. Journal of Southeast University (English Edition), 2015, 31 (3): 396-400. [doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2015.03.017]

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Prediction method of highway pavement ruttingbased on the grey theory()

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Journal of Southeast University (English Edition)[ISSN:1003-7985/CN:32-1325/N]

Volumn:

31

Issue:

2015 3

Page:

396-400

Research Field:

Traffic and Transportation Engineering

Publishing date:

2015-09-20

Info

Title:

Prediction method of highway pavement ruttingbased on the grey theory

Author(s):

Zhou Lan¹;  Ni Fujian¹;  Zhao Yanjing²

¹School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
²School of Civil Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China

Keywords:

prediction method;  grey theory;  cluster analysis;  analysis of variance;  pavement rutting

PACS:

U416.217

DOI:

10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2015.03.017

Abstract:

In order to make a scientific pavement maintenance decision, a grey-theory-based prediction methodological framework is proposed to predict pavement performance. Based on the field pavement rutting data, analysis of variance(ANOVA)was first used to study the influence of different factors on pavement rutting. Cluster analysis was then employed to investigate the rutting development trend. Based on the clustering results, the grey theory was applied to build pavement rutting models for each cluster, which can effectively reduce the complexity of the predictive model. The results show that axial load and asphalt binder type play important roles in rutting development. The prediction model is capable of capturing the uncertainty in the pavement performance prediction process and can meet the requirements of highway pavement maintenance, and, therefore, has a wide application prospects.

References:

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[7] Wang K C P, Li Q, Hall K D, et al. Experimentation with grey theory for pavement smoothness prediction[J]. Transportation Research Record, 2007, 1990: 3-13.
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Memo

Memo:

Biographies: Zhou Lan(1984—), female, graduate; Ni Fujian(corresponding author), male, doctor, professor, nifujian@gmail.com.
Foundation item: The Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of Jiangsu Provincial Communications Department(No.2011Y/02-G1).
Citation: Zhou Lan, Ni Fujian, Zhao Yanjing. Prediction method of highway pavement rutting based on the grey theory[J].Journal of Southeast University(English Edition), 2015, 31(3):396-400.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2015.03.017]

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