[1] Jiang Yu, Lu Jian,. Combined model of trip mode and destination [J]. Journal of Southeast University (English Edition), 2010, 26 (4): 633-637. [doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2010.04.027]

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Journal of Southeast University (English Edition)[ISSN:1003-7985/CN:32-1325/N]

Volumn:

26

Issue:

2010 4

Page:

633-637

Research Field:

Traffic and Transportation Engineering

Publishing date:

2010-12-30

Info

Title:

Combined model of trip mode and destination

Author(s):

Jiang Yu¹;  Lu Jian²

¹ College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China
² School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China

Keywords:

combined choice model;  discrete choice;  trip mode and destination;  sampling

PACS:

U491.2

DOI:

10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2010.04.027

Abstract:

This paper analyzes the characteristics of the destination distribution of trips and proposes a stratified sampling strategy for travel mode choice. The stratified sampling strategy can reduce the size of the alternative set; thus, the computation burden of simulation is decreased. Using the stratified sampling strategy, a combined choice model of the trip mode and destination is developed based on the Bayesian theory. Simulations are carried out to verify the proposed model. The results show that the combined choice model of the trip mode and destination can efficiently simulate travelers’ choice behaviors. Furthermore, the forecasting accuracy of the combined choice model is higher than the one of the gravity model. Therefore, the proposed model is a powerful tool with which to analyze travelers’ behaviors in selecting the trip mode.

References:

[1] Train K E. Discrete choice methods with simulation [M]. Berkeley: University of California and National Economic Research Associates, Inc, 2002: 138-139;151-154.
[2] Rich J, Holmblad P M, Hansen C O. A weighted logit freight mode-choice model [J]. Transportation Research Part E, 2009, 45(2):1006-1019.
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[5] Ka Edi. Foundations of Bayesian theory[J].Journal of Economic Theory, 2007, 132(4):167-188.
[6] Hess S, Bierlaire M, Polak J W. Estimation of value of travel-time saving using mixed logit models [J]. Transportation Research Part A, 2004, 9(3):15-21.
[7] Jiang Y, Lu J, Wang S S. Mode and destination combined based on discrete choice theory [J]. Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, 2007, 24(7):137-142.(in Chinese)
[8] Wang S S. On activity-based discrete choice travel demand analysis model [D]. Nanjing: School of Transportation of Southeast University, 2007.(in Chinese)
[9] Walker Joan. Mixed logit(or logit kernel)model: dispelling misconcepts of identification [J]. Transportation Research Record, 2002(1805): 86-98.
[10] Fosgerau M. Investigating the distribution of the value of travel time saving [J]. Transportation Research Part B, 2006, 40(3): 688-707.

Memo

Memo:

Biography: Jiang Yu(1975—), female, doctor, lecturer, jiangyu07@nuaa.edu.cn.
Citation: Jiang Yu, Lu Jian. Combined model of trip mode and destination[J].Journal of Southeast University(English Edition), 2010, 26(4):633-637.

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